Validation of the online PREDICT tool in a cohort of early breast cancer in Brazil.

PREDICT is a tool designed to estimate the benefits of adjuvant therapy and the overall survival of women with early breast cancer. The model uses clinical, histological, and immunohistochemical variables. This study aimed to evaluate the model's performance in a Brazilian population. We assessed the discrimination and calibration of the PREDICT model to estimate overall survival (OS) in five and ten years of follow-up in a cohort of 873 women with early breast cancer diagnosed from January 2001 to December 2016. A total of 743 patients had estrogen receptor (ER)-positive and 130 had ER-negative tumors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) for discrimination was 0.72 (95%CI: 0.66-0.78) at five years and 0.67 (95%CI: 0.61-0.72) at ten years for women with ER-positive tumors. The AUC was 0.72 (95%CI: 0.62-0.81) at five years and 0.67 (95%CI: 0.54-0.77) at ten years for women with ER-negative tumors. The predicted survival in ER-positive tumors was 91.0% (95%CI: 90.2-91.6%) at five years and 79.3% (95%CI: 77.7-81.0%) at ten years, and the observed survival 90.7% (95%CI: 88.6-92.9%) and 77.2% (95%CI: 73.4-81.4%), respectively. The predicted survival in ER-negative tumors was 84.5% (95%CI: 82.5-86.6%) at five years and 75.0% (95%CI: 71.6-78.5%) at ten years, and the observed survival 76.3% (95%CI: 69.1-84.3%) and 67.9% (95%CI: 58.6-78.6%), respectively. In conclusion, PREDICT was accurate to estimate OS in women with ER-positive tumors and overestimated the OS in women with ER-negative tumors.

Validation of the online PREDICT tool in a cohort of early breast cancer in Brazil

PREDICT is a tool designed to estimate the benefits of adjuvant therapy and the overall survival of women with early breast cancer. The model uses clinical, histological, and immunohistochemical variables. This study aimed to evaluate the model's performance in a Brazilian population. We assessed the discrimination and calibration of the PREDICT model to estimate overall survival (OS) in five and ten years of follow-up in a cohort of 873 women with early breast cancer diagnosed from January 2001 to December 2016. A total of 743 patients had estrogen receptor (ER)-positive and 130 had ER-negative tumors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) for discrimination was 0.72 (95%CI: 0.66-0.78) at five years and 0.67 (95%CI: 0.61-0.72) at ten years for women with ER-positive tumors. The AUC was 0.72 (95%CI: 0.62-0.81) at five years and 0.67 (95%CI: 0.54-0.77) at ten years for women with ER-negative tumors. The predicted survival in ER-positive tumors was 91.0% (95%CI: 90.2-91.6%) at five years and 79.3% (95%CI: 77.7-81.0%) at ten years, and the observed survival 90.7% (95%CI: 88.6-92.9%) and 77.2% (95%CI: 73.4-81.4%), respectively. The predicted survival in ER-negative tumors was 84.5% (95%CI: 82.5-86.6%) at five years and 75.0% (95%CI: 71.6-78.5%) at ten years, and the observed survival 76.3% (95%CI: 69.1-84.3%) and 67.9% (95%CI: 58.6-78.6%), respectively. In conclusion, PREDICT was accurate to estimate OS in women with ER-positive tumors and overestimated the OS in women with ER-negative tumors.

Tuberculosis burden in stage 5 chronic kidney disease patients undergoing dialysis therapy at Livingstone Hospital, Port Elizabeth, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) is currently the leading cause of death from a single infectious agent worldwide. Patients who receive dialysis are particularly vulnerable to TB infection owing to immune dysfunction. Nonetheless, there is a paucity of incidence data on dialysis patients infected with TB in high-burden countries, such as South Africa (SA). OBJECTIVES: To determine the incidence of TB in prevalent chronic kidney disease stage 5 (CKD-5D) patients on dialysis at a single centre in Eastern Cape Province, SA, and to identify the risk factors associated with TB infection. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of all consenting CKD-5D patients between April 2010 and March 2014 at Livingstone Hospital Renal Unit, Port Elizabeth, the Eastern Cape. TB was defined as definite or probable according to World Health Organization (WHO) criteria, and the cohort was split into those who developed TB (TB+) and those who did not (TB-). RESULTS: One hundred and eleven patients were enrolled - predominantly black Africans (73%) and women (53%); the mean age (standard deviation (SD)) was 42 (9.8) years. The prevalence of HIV infection was 11%, all patients were receiving antiretroviral treatment and all had suppressed viral loads. Sixty-eight patients were on haemodialysis and 43 on peritoneal dialysis. Nineteen patients were diagnosed with 20 episodes of TB; 14 cases were pulmonary TB and 6 cases extrapulmonary TB. Of the patients with TB, 2 were HIV-infected, 7 (35%) were definite TB cases and 13 (65%) were probable cases. The calculated incidence rate was 4 505/100 000 patient years. Only informal housing (30% in TB+ v. 12% in TB-; p=0.042) and a history of hospitalisation (90% v. 76%, respectively; p=0.042) were significantly associated with a diagnosis of TB. CONCLUSIONS: Dialysis patients in the Eastern Cape region of SA are at extremely high risk of acquiring TB, with an incidence rate 4.1 times that of the local population and >5 times that of the general SA population. Only informal housing and a history of hospitalisation were identified as positive risk factors for TB in this young population with a low HIV prevalence. Isoniazid prophylaxis in this high-risk group might be of benefit, but further studies are required to inform such treatment.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with trastuzumab in HER2-positive breast cancer: pathologic complete response rate, predictive and prognostic factors.

The purpose of this study was to retrospectively review the pathologic complete response (pCR) rate from patients (n=86) with stage II and III HER2-positive breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy at our institution from 2008 to 2013 and to determine possible predictive and prognostic factors. Immunohistochemistry for hormone receptors and Ki-67 was carried out. Clinical and pathological features were analyzed as predictive factors of response to therapy. For survival analysis, we used Kaplan-Meier curves to estimate 5-year survival rates and the log-rank test to compare the curves. The addition of trastuzumab to neoadjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved pCR rate from 4.8 to 46.8%, regardless of the number of preoperative trastuzumab cycles (P=0.0012). Stage II patients achieved a higher response rate compared to stage III (P=0.03). The disease-free and overall survivals were not significantly different between the group of patients that received trastuzumab in the neoadjuvant setting (56.3 and 70% at 5 years, respectively) and the group that initiated it post-operatively (75.8 and 88.7% at 5 years, respectively). Axillary pCR post neoadjuvant chemotherapy with trastuzumab was associated with reduced risk of recurrence (HR=0.34; P=0.03) and death (HR=0.21; P=0.02). In conclusion, we confirmed that trastuzumab improves pCR rates and verified that this improvement occurs even with less than four cycles of the drug. Hormone receptors and Ki-67 expressions were not predictive of response in this subset of patients. Axillary pCR clearly denotes prognosis after neoadjuvant target therapy and should be considered to be a marker of resistance, providing an opportunity to investigate new strategies for HER2-positive treatment.

Risk factors for unsuccessful lumbar puncture in children.

BACKGROUND: This descriptive study provides the first information on an association between the use of sedation and a reduction in the prevalence of unsuccessful lumbar puncture (LP) in African children of all races. OBJECTIVE: Our hypothesis was that children who do not receive any procedural sedation are more likely to have unsuccessful LPs. METHODS: A cross-sectional observational study examined LPs performed from February to April 2013, including details of the procedure, sedation or analgesia used, and techniques. The setting was the Medical Emergency Unit at Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa, and the participants all children aged 0 - 13 years who had an LP in the unit during the time period. RESULTS: Of 350 children, 62.9% were <12 months of age, the median age being 4.8 months (interquartile range 1.5 - 21.7). The prevalence of unsuccessful (traumatic or dry) LP was 32.3% (113/350). Sedation was used in 107 children (30.6%) and was associated with a reduction in the likelihood of unsuccessful LP (p=0.002; risk ratio (RR) 0.5 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.34 - 0.78)) except in those <3 months of age, where sedation did not significantly reduce the likelihood (p=0.56; RR 1.20 (95% CI 0.66 - 2.18)). CONCLUSIONS: Unsuccessful LP was common. Sedation was not routinely used, but the results suggest that it may be associated with a reduction in the rate of unsuccessful LP. Unsuccessful LP may lead to diagnostic uncertainty, prolonged hospitalisation and unnecessary antibiotic use. Whether a procedural sedation protocol would reduce the rate of unsuccessful LP requires further study.

Isoniazid exposure and pyridoxine levels in human immunodeficiency virus associated distal sensory neuropathy.

SETTING: Distal sensory polyneuropathy (DSP) may manifest in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected individuals before or after antiretroviral therapy (ART). DSP can also occur in response to isoniazid (INH); this can be prevented by pyridoxine supplementation. N-acetyltransferase 2 (NAT2) polymorphisms influence drug acetylation and possibly the risk for INH-associated DSP. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between previous/current TB, pyridoxine deficiency and DSP in HIV-infected individuals enrolled in a government-sponsored HIV programme. DESIGN: Neuropathy assessments were performed among 159 adults pre-ART and 12 and 24 weeks thereafter. DSP was defined as ⩾1 neuropathic symptom and sign. NAT2 genotypes predicted acetylation phenotype. Serum pyridoxine levels (PLP) were quantified at baseline and week 12. RESULTS: DSP was present in 16% of individuals pre-ART and was associated with previous/current TB (P = 0.020). Over 50% were pyridoxine deficient (PLP < 25 nmol/l), despite supplementation with vitamin B complex supplements (2-4 mg/day pyridoxine). Those with a history of TB and pre-ART DSP were more likely to be pyridoxine deficient (P = 0.029), and slow/intermediate NAT2 phenotypes impacted on their PLP levels. Incident/worsening DSP after ART developed in 21% of the participants. PLP levels remained low after ART, particularly among those with prior TB, but without an association between DSP or NAT2 phenotypes. CONCLUSION: Adequate pyridoxine supplementation before ART initiation should be prioritised, particularly in those with a history of TB or current TB.

Massage therapy improves the development of HIV-exposed infants living in a low socio-economic, peri-urban community of South Africa.

The aim of this study was to assess the effect of massage therapy on the growth and development of infants of HIV-infected mothers in a low socio-economic community in Cape Town. It was a prospective, randomised, controlled intervention trial that included massage therapy and control groups of HIV-infected mothers and their normal birth weight infants who were enrolled in the prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) programme. Participants were recruited at the 6-week clinic visit and followed up every 2 weeks until their infants were 9 months of age. Mother-infant pairs in the massage therapy and control groups included 73 and 88 at 6 weeks and 55 and 58 at 9 months, respectively. Mothers in the intervention group were trained to massage their infants for 15 min daily. The socioeconomic status, immunity, relationship with the partner and mental pain of mothers; the infants' dietary intake, anthropometry and development (Griffiths Mental Development Scales); and haematological and iron status of mothers and infants were assessed at baseline and follow-up. Nine infants (5.3%) were HIV-infected on the HIV DNA PCR test at 6 weeks. Despite significantly higher levels of maternal mental pain, infants in the massage therapy compared to control group scored higher in all five of the Griffiths Scales of Mental Development and significantly higher in the mean quotient (p=0.002) and mean percentile (p=0.004) for the hearing and speech scale at 9 months. Based on the mean difference in scores, the massage therapy group showed greater improvement for all five scales compared to the control group. The mean difference in scores was significantly greater for the hearing and speech quotient (21.9 vs. 11.2) (p<0.03) and the general quotient percentile (19.3 vs. 7.7) (p=0.03) in the massage therapy compared to the control group. These scales remained significant when adjusting for the relationship with the partner and maternal mental pain. Both groups had lower scores in the performance scale at 9 months although this was significantly worse in the control compared to the massage therapy group when adjusting for maternal CD4 count, anaemia, relationship with the partner and mental pain. There were no significant differences in the anthropometric measurements between the two groups. In conclusion, based on the Griffiths Scales, massage therapy improved the overall development and had a significant effect on the hearing and speech and general quotient of HIV-exposed infants in this study.

Sensory polyneuropathy in human immunodeficiency virus-infected patients receiving tuberculosis treatment.

SETTING: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and treatments for HIV infection and tuberculosis (TB) are associated with the risk of developing sensory polyneuropathy (SPN). Vitamin B6 and genetically determined slow isoniazid (INH) acetylation are believed to play key roles in the development of SPN in a TB treatment setting. OBJECTIVE: To investigate slow acetylation and risk factors for SPN in HIV-infected patients receiving TB treatment, and establish vitamin B6 status and its association with SPN. METHODS: HIV-infected in-patients were prospectively assessed after initiating TB treatment and vitamin B6 supplementation, and monthly during hospitalisation. SPN was defined as ≥1 symptom plus ≥1 sign. NAT2 genotyping predicted acetylation status, and plasma high performance liquid chromatography estimated vitamin B6 status. A survival analysis estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for SPN during TB treatment. RESULTS: Of 116 participants, 56% had SPN at study entry. Participants developed SPN at a rate of 26/100 person-months (95%CI 18-35) during TB treatment, which was independently associated with slow acetylation (HR 2.5; 95%CI 1.1-5.9), as well as black race, previous TB and extra-pulmonary/disseminated TB. Vitamin B6 status was normal, irrespective of SPN. CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors for SPN suggest a multi-factorial pathogenesis related to INH and other potential nervous system insults. SPN developed despite normal vitamin B6 status, suggesting other mechanisms of injury.

A comparison of maternal calcium and magnesium levels in pre-eclamptic and normotensive pregnancies: an observational case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: Supplementing pregnant women at high risk of developing pre-eclampsia with calcium may reduce the incidence of the disease. This study examines differences in serum and hair concentrations of calcium and magnesium between women with pre-eclamptic and normotensive pregnancies. DESIGN: Observational case-control study. SETTING: Two teaching hospitals in Cape Town, South Africa. POPULATION: Women with pre-eclamptic (N = 96) or normotensive (N = 96) pregnancies, who delivered a single, live infant. METHODS: Demographic and current pregnancy details were retrieved from clinical notes. Each participant completed a dietary questionnaire. Venous blood samples were taken from each participant to assess serum calcium and magnesium concentrations. Hair samples were obtained from all participants and calcium and magnesium levels were measured by inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectrometry (ICPOES). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Hair and serum calcium and magnesium concentrations were compared between women with pre-eclamptic and normotensive pregnancies. RESULTS: Diet and socio-economic status in the two groups were similar. There was no significant difference in the hair calcium level between women with pre-eclamptic [1241 parts per million (ppm); range, 331-4654 ppm] and normotensive (1146 ppm; range, 480-4136 ppm) pregnancies (P = 0.5). Hair calcium levels in both groups were not affected by HIV infection. CONCLUSION: Woman with pre-eclampsia showed no difference in chronic calcium status relative to normotensive women. This finding does not support the current belief that the mechanism by which calcium supplementation reduces the risk of developing pre-eclampsia is by correcting a nutritional deficiency.

An evaluation of the early effects of a combination antiretroviral therapy programme on the management of AIDS-associated Kaposi's sarcoma in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

Roll-out of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) in South Africa should impact on AIDS-associated Kaposi's sarcoma (KS). Government provision began in 2003, with 23% coverage for World Health Organization (WHO) stage IV AIDS in 2006. To assess the effect of cART availability on KS management, we evaluated records from 701 KS patients seen at a tertiary oncology centre in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, from 1995 to 2006. Associations between cART use and measures of KS care were evaluated. cART availability was 0% prior to 2001, 9.6% (2001-2003) and 44% (2004-2006). Documentation of HIV status increased incrementally from 65% to 92%. cART was associated with chemotherapy administration: 56% on cART versus 17% not on cART (P < 0.001); and less loss to follow-up, 13% on cART versus 38% not on cART (P < 0.001). cART availability improves the care of AIDS-associated KS. Further increases in cART availability for this population are needed in South Africa.

The effect of percutaneous pin fixation in the treatment of distal femoral physeal fractures.

Distal femoral physeal fractures in children have a high incidence of physeal arrest, occurring in a mean of 40% of cases. The underlying nature of the distal femoral physis may be the primary cause, but other factors have been postulated to contribute to the formation of a physeal bar. The purpose of this study was to assess the significance of contributing factors to physeal bar formation, in particular the use of percutaneous pins across the physis. We reviewed 55 patients with a median age of ten years (3 to 13), who had sustained displaced distal femoral physeal fractures. Most (40 of 55) were treated with percutaneous pinning after reduction, four were treated with screws and 11 with plaster. A total of 40 patients were assessed clinically and radiologically after skeletal maturity or at the time of formation of a bar. The remaining 15 were followed up for a minimum of two years. Formation of a physeal bar occurred in 12 (21.8%) patients, with the rate rising to 30.6% in patients with high-energy injuries compared with 5.3% in those with low-energy injuries. There was a significant trend for physeal arrest according to increasing severity using the Salter-Harris classification. Percutaneous smooth pins across the physis were not statistically associated with growth arrest.

Taxane-based chemotherapy enhances response to neoadjuvant treatment for stage II and III breast cancer.

Reducing primary tumor volume is the main role of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer. We evaluated the benefit of adding docetaxel to anthracyclin as neoadjuvant therapy. This study is a retrospective cohort analysis comparing the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients subjected to docetaxel and epirubicin or 5-fluoruracil, epirubicin and cyclophosphamide combinations (DE and FEC group, respectively). The mean number of chemotherapy delivered was similar in both groups (P = 0.8). A total of 316 patients were treated (151 in FEC group and 165 in DE group). Primary endpoint was the clinical and pathological response to therapy. Breast conserving surgery rate was compared. In T1/2 staged patients, the complete clinical response rate was 7.5% in FEC group and 32% in DE group (P = 0.002), and the breast conserving surgery rate was 72 and 73% in FEC and DE groups, respectively (P = 0.9). In the subset of patients staged as T3 and T4a-c, objective response was higher in DE group (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.008, respectively). Breast conserving surgery rate was 38 and 63% in FEC and DE groups, respectively, in T3 staged patients and, 20.5 and 37% in T4a-c staged patients (P = 0.003 and 0.08). Despite the similar number of chemotherapy cycles delivered in both groups, the presence of microscopic axillary lymph node involvement after chemotherapy was less frequent in DE group. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with DE combination is more effective in terms of clinical and pathological response propitiating higher breast conserving surgery rate than FEC combination in stage II and III breast cancer.

High treatment failure and default rates for patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, 2000-2003.

SETTING: Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) has emerged as a significant public health threat in South Africa. OBJECTIVE: To describe treatment outcomes and determine risk factors associated with unfavorable outcomes among MDR-TB patients admitted to the provincial TB referral hospital in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa. DESIGN: Retrospective observational study of MDR-TB patients admitted from 2000 to 2003. RESULTS: Of 1209 MDR-TB patients with documented treatment outcomes, 491 (41%) were cured, 35 (3%) completed treatment, 208 (17%) failed treatment, 223 (18%) died and 252 (21%) defaulted. Of the total number of patients with known human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status, 52% were HIV-infected. Treatment failure, death and default each differed in their risk factors. Greater baseline resistance (aOR 2.3-3.0), prior TB (aOR 1.7), and diagnosis in 2001, 2002 or 2003 (aOR 1.9-2.3) were independent risk factors for treatment failure. HIV co-infection was a risk factor for death (aOR 5.6), and both HIV (aOR 2.0) and male sex (aOR 1.9) were risk factors for treatment default. CONCLUSION: MDR-TB treatment outcomes in KwaZulu-Natal were substantially worse than those published from other MDR-TB cohorts. Interventions such as concurrent antiretroviral therapy and decentralized MDR-TB treatment should be considered to improve MDR-TB outcomes in this high HIV prevalence setting.

Increasing incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma in black South Africans in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa (1983-2006).

The aim of the study was to describe the temporal trends in the incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) in black South Africans in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN). The study was designed as a retrospective record review. The incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma was estimated using administrative records for patients receiving care for KS through public sector oncology clinics in KZN, 1983-2006. Annual age-standardized incidence rates were calculated using provincial census data for the denominator. Age-specific rates were calculated for the pre-AIDS (1983-1989) and for the generalized AIDS epidemic eras (2006). Age-standardized incidence of KS increased in KZN from <1:100,000 in 1990 to at least 15:100,000 in 2006; this increase was observed in both men and women. There was a shift in the peak age-specific incidence rates from the sixth decade of life in the pre-AIDS era to the fourth and fifth decades in the AIDS era. In conclusion, KS is a growing public health problem in KZN, South Africa. These data reinforce the need for comprehensive national access to and roll-out of antiretroviral drugs, given their success in prevention and treatment of KS in first-world settings.

High AIDS-related mortality among young women in rural KwaZulu-Natal.

OBJECTIVE: To establish mortality rates and cause of death in a rural community in KwaZulu-Natal. This study was conducted as part of a demographic and health survey to assess the impact of HIV infection in this community. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted between February and July 2004. The survey made use of structured questionnaires and verbal autopsies, which yielded detailed information at household level, including the demographic profile of residents, mortality rates and cause of mortality between February 2003 and February 2004. RESULTS: The overall mortality rate in this community was 2.9 deaths per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.5 - 3.3 per 100 person-years). The highest mortality rate among women occurred in the 30 - 34-year age group, while among men it occurred in the 35 - 39 and > 60-year age groups. Of the 185 verbal autopsies reported, 77 deaths (42%) were attributable to AIDS. The survey revealed that women aged 20 - 24 and men aged 35 - 39 years were bearing a disproportionately large burden of AIDS-related mortality in this community. CONCLUSION: AIDS-related mortality was found to be disproportionately high in young women in this small rural community, and the majority of deaths resulted from pulmonary tuberculosis. The need to strengthen prevention and treatment efforts in this and similar settings is highlighted.

Antibodies against human herpesvirus 8 in South African renal transplant recipients and blood donors.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the seroprevalence of human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8) antibodies in a selected group of renal transplant recipients and blood donors, in relation to various socio-demographic variables. SUBJECTS: Anonymised serum samples were obtained from 306 black donors attending blood donations at the SA National Blood Transfusion Service, Johannesburg, and 430 recipients of renal transplants at Johannesburg General Hospital, from 1998 to 1999. METHODOLOGY: Serum samples were tested by indirect immunofluorescence assay to detect IgG antibodies against HHV-8. Crude and adjusted seroprevalence, and odds ratios were calculated to examine the relationship between antibodies to HHV-8 and age, sex, population, and risk group. RESULTS: Adjusted HHV-8 seroprevalence at 'medium to high' antibody titres (at least 1:51,200) increased with age, from 2% (age 15-24; 95% CI=0.7-5.2) to 10% (age 45+; 95% CI=6.3-15.2). Whites had the lowest % adjusted seroprevalence (1.8; 95% CI:0.8-4.2), followed by blacks (7.4; 95% CI=5.1-10.8), Asians/Indians (9.5; 95% CI=3.6-22.9), and individuals of mixed race (12.5; 95% CI=4.5-30.2). Seroprevalence was not related to gender, or to occupation of blood donors. HHV-8 seroprevalence did not differ significantly between first-time blood donors, repeat donors, and transplant recipients (P=0.49). Transplant recipients had a greater proportion of persons with high HHV-8 antibody intensity; however, this difference was statistically not significant (P=0.08). CONCLUSIONS: Blood donors and renal transplant patients had relatively high HHV-8 antibody titres. Given the strong association between HHV-8 seropostivity and the risk of developing Kaposi's sarcoma, it may be prudent in settings where HHV-8 seroprevalence is high to screen for HHV-8 in donated blood used for these immunocompromised individuals.

Limited Pap screening associated with reduced risk of cervical cancer in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: We investigated the effect of Pap smear screening on the incidence of invasive cancer of the cervix in the Western Cape, South Africa where screening is limited. METHODS: Data were derived from a case-control study of the association of hormonal contraceptives and invasive cervical cancer. Incident cases (n = 524) of invasive cervical cancer who presented at two tertiary hospitals and controls (n = 1540) series matched for age, race, and place of residence were interviewed. Information on a wide range of variables was collected including whether the women had previously had a Pap smear taken and the number and timing of smears. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% CI were calculated using multiple logistic regression. RESULTS: The OR of cervical cancer was reduced among women who had ever had a smear (OR = 0.3, 95% CI: 0.3-0.4). The OR declined with increasing number of smears to 0.2 for >/=>3 smears (trend P = 0.0003). Among women who had a smear <5 years previously the OR was 0.3, but even if the smear was taken >/=15 years previously the women remained at reduced risk (OR = 0.5). CONCLUSION: The data suggest that even limited Pap smear screening reduces the risk of cervical cancer. Should a screening programme be successfully implemented, the incidence of cervical cancer might be reduced by as much as 70%.

Study of chromosome damage in patients with breast cancer treated by two antineoplastic treatments.

The frequencies of chromosomal aberrations (CAs) and sister chromatid exchanges (SCEs) were determined in peripheral blood lymphocyte cultures from women with breast cancer treated by chemotherapy (CT) with FEC (5-fluorouracil, epirubicin, and cyclophosphamide) or CMF (cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and 5-fluorouracil) cocktail in six CT cycles. The number of patients in each CT cycle were from 1 to 3 for SCE and 2 to 5 for CA. Samples were collected before and 48 h after CT. Although the size of the sample was limited and interindividual variability was wide, it appears that a 21-day interval between CT sessions is sufficient for cell recovery. This fact was demonstrated by the reduction in CA and SCE frequencies between cycles in parallel with the unchanged mitotic index and proliferative index values.

Risk factors for oesophageal, lung, oral and laryngeal cancers in black South Africans.

The authors used data collected from 1995 to 1999, from an on-going cancer case-control study in greater Johannesburg, to estimate the importance of tobacco and alcohol consumption and other suspected risk factors with respect to cancer of the oesophagus (267 men and 138 women), lung (105 men and 41 women), oral cavity (87 men and 37 women), and larynx (51 men). Cancers not associated with tobacco or alcohol consumption were used as controls (804 men and 1370 women). Tobacco smoking was found to be the major risk factor for all of these cancers with odds ratios ranging from 2.6 (95% CI 1.5-4.5) for oesophageal cancer in female ex-smokers to 50.9 (95% CI 12.6-204.6) for lung cancer in women, and 23.9 (95% CI 9.5-60.3) for lung cancer and 23.6 (95% CI 4.6-121.2) for laryngeal cancer in men who smoked 15 or more grams of tobacco a day. This is the first time an association between smoking and oral and laryngeal cancers has been shown in sub-Saharan Africa. Long-term residence in the Transkei region in the southeast of the country continues to be a risk factor for oesophageal cancer, especially in women (odds ratio=14.7, 95% CI 4.7-46.0), possibly due to nutritional factors. There was a slight increase in lung cancer (odds ratio=2.9, 95% CI 1.1-7.5) in men working in 'potentially noxious' industries. 'Frequent' alcohol consumption, on its own, caused a marginally elevated risk for oesophageal cancer (odds ratio=1.7, 95% CI 1.0-2.9, for women and odds ratio=1.8, 95% CI 1.2-2.8, for men). The risks for oesophageal cancer in relation to alcohol consumption increased significantly in male and female smokers (odds ratio=4.7, 95% CI=2.8-7.9 in males and odds ratio=4.8, 95% CI 3.2-6.1 in females). The above results are broadly in line with international findings.

Effect of transitory hyperprolactinemia on in vitro fertilization of human oocytes.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the changes in plasma prolactin (PRL) during ovarian hyperstimulation (OH) and the influence of hyperprolactinemia on folliculogenesis, oocyte retrieval and in vitro fertilization (IVF) success rates and the usefulness of the metoclopramide (MCP) test in predicting the onset of hyperprolactinemia. STUDY DESIGN: Forty-nine cycles of OH were induced in 32 infertile women using follicle-stimulating hormone, human menopausal gonadotropin and human chorionic gonadotropin (GI) (n = 36), also in association with gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GII) (n = 13). The MCP test (10 mg, intravenously) was performed on fertile control women (control group, n = 9) and in GI (n = 21) and GII (n = 8) patients. RESULTS: Plasma PRL and estradiol levels increased during OH, reaching maximum levels on the day preceding oocyte retrieval in GI and GII. Since these two groups exhibited similar PRL curves, they were evaluated as a single group. Patients showing an increase in PRL of > 200% presented a greater number of follicles with a mean diameter > or = 12 mm and more mature oocytes and better IVF success rates than patients with a PRL increase < or = 200%. Oocyte retrieval did not differ between the groups. The MCP test showed hyperresponsiveness in the three groups studied, but no correlation was found between the PRL increase in this test and that during OH. CONCLUSION: Plasma PRL and estradiol levels increase during OH, while the MCP test cannot predict the onset of hyperprolactinemia. Transitory hyperprolactinemia seems to be associated with an increase in the numbers of follicles with a mean diameter > or = 12 mm and with more mature oocytes and better IVF success rates.